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Journal of Atmospheric Science Research

ISSN: 2630-5119 (Online)

  • Article

    Wavelet Analysis of Average Monthly Temperature New Delhi 1931- 2021 and Forecast until 2110

    Mazurkin Peter MatveevichORCID
    1-20

    Article ID: 110329    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5447
    629  (Abstract) 387  (Download)

    Abstract: The identification method in the CurveExpert-1.40 software environment revealed asymmetric wavelets of changes in the average monthly temperature of New Delhi from 1931 to 2021. The maximum increment for 80 years of the average monthly temperature of 5.1°C was in March 2010. An analysis of the wave patterns of the dynamics of the average monthly temperature up to 2110 was carried out. For forecasting, formulas were adopted containing four... More

  • Article

    Investigating the Effects of Madden-Julian Oscillation on Climate Elements of Iran (1980-2020)

    Kourosh Mohammadpour, Zahra Hejazizadeh, Hooshang Ghaemi, Mohammad Salighe
    21-32

    Article ID: 110268    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5351
    668  (Abstract) 486  (Download)

    Abstract: The Madden-Julian Oscillation is one of the large-scale climate change patterns in the maritime tropics, with sub-seasonal time periods of 30 to 60 days affecting tropical and subtropical regions. This phenomenon can cause changes in various quantities of the atmosphere and ocean, such as pressure, sea surface temperature, and the rate of evaporation from the ocean surface in tropical regions. In this research, the effects of Madden-Julian... More

  • Article

    Crucial, But Not Systematically Investigated: Rock Glaciers, the Concealed Water Reservoirs of the Himalayas: An Opinion

    Sheikh Nawaz AliORCID, Pratima PandeyORCID
    33-41

    Article ID: 110398    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5541
    780  (Abstract) 647  (Download)

    Abstract: The current article is an opinion on the sensitivity of high mountain regions which are the most fragile, sensitive and vulnerable to ongoing climate change. Its impacts are especially severe on the high mountain communities owing to their weak socio-economic profile, limited livelihood resources and agricultural land. The melting of glaciers and changes in the snow cover under the climate change scenario is leading to the scarcity of freshwater... More

  • Article

    The Possibilities of Using the Minimax Method to Diagnose the State of the Atmosphere

    Elena Sergeevna AndreevaORCID
    42-49

    Article ID: 110381    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5519
    542  (Abstract) 387  (Download)

    Abstract: The article is devoted to the discussion of the possibilities of approbation of one of the probabilistic methods of verification of evaluation works - the minimax method or the method of establishing the minimum risk of making erroneous diagnoses of the instability of the planetary boundary layer of air. Within the framework of this study, the task of probabilistic forecasting of diagnostic parameters and their combinations, leading in their... More

  • Article

    Rainfall and Temperature Variations in a Dry Tropical Environment of Nigeria

    David O. EdokpaORCID, Precious N. EdeORCID, Bridget E. DiagiORCID, Susan I. AjiereORCID
    50-57

    Article ID: 110389    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5527
    1004  (Abstract) 648  (Download)

    Abstract: This study examines long-term rainfall and temperature variations over a dry tropical environment in Nigeria. An assessment of the variations of these weather variables showcases the extent of climate change limits and corresponding effects on the biotic environment. Rainfall and temperature data were obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency for a period of 31 years (1991-2020) for Kano and Katsina States. Descriptive statistics were used to... More

  • Article

    Formation and Transport of a Saharan Dust Plume in Early Summer

    Habib SenghorORCID, Abdou L. Dieng, Moussa Gueye, Cheikh A. Diop, Mariane D. Kane, Amadou T. Gaye
    58-74

    Article ID: 110302    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5407
    729  (Abstract) 885  (Download)

    Abstract: This research studies the capability of the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with the Chemistry/Aerosol module (WRF-Chem) with and without parametrization to reproduce a dust storm, which was held on 27th June 2018 over Sahara region. The authors use satellite observations and ground-based measurements to evaluate the WRF-Chem simulations. The sensitivities of WRF-Chem Model are tested on the replication of haboob features with a... More

  • Article

    Co-designed Practical Use of Probabilistic Climate Advisories among Smallholder Farmers: A Balance between Confidence and Caution

    Mary MwangiORCID, Evans Kituyi, Gilbert Ouma
    75-82

    Article ID: 110373    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v6i2.5511
    479  (Abstract) 464  (Download)

    Abstract: Especially for smallholder farmers with limited land and financial resources, farming in arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs), where season-to-season rainfall fluctuation dictates production, is a risky business. Through participatory approaches, this study compares deterministic and probabilistic interpretations of climate forecasts and their use by smallholder farmers through a crop-growing season. The study revealed that deterministic advisories... More