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Journal of Atmospheric Science Research

ISSN: 2630-5119 (Online)

  • Article

    Seasonal Patterns and Forecasting of CO and Ozone Using Singular Spectrum Analysis in a Tropical Urban Environment

    Amaury de SouzaORCID, Raquel Soares Casaes NunesORCID, José Francisco de Oliveira JuniorORCID, Ivana PobocikovaORCID, Sianny Vanessa da Silva FreitasORCID, Kelvy Rosalvo Alencar CardosoORCID
    1-15

    Article ID: 116001    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.12273
    1282  (Abstract) 317  (Download)

    Abstract: Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) was applied to daily time series of carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O₃) observed between 2000 and 2018 in Campo Grande, MS, Brazil, to identify seasonal patterns, long-term variability, and evaluating the predictive capacity of the technique. The methodology involved the decomposition of the series into structural components and subsequent prediction using the Linear Recurrence Formula (LRF). The analysis... More

  • Article

    Comparative Analysis of Traditional and Machine Learning Models for Rainfall Forecasting in Barishal District of Bangladesh

    Shawrab ChandraORCID, Istiak AhmedORCID, Md. Saif Uddin RashedORCID
    16-29

    Article ID: 116367    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.12738
    492  (Abstract) 210  (Download)

    Abstract: Rainfall prediction is crucial for agricultural planning and water resource management, as Bangladesh’s agriculture heavily depends on rainfed irrigation. Existing forecasting models are complex and costly, both budgetarily and computationally. As a result, our study evaluates the comparative performance of forecasting models, comprising two traditional time series models (Exponential Smoothing (ES) and Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving... More

  • Article

    Spectral Transmission Properties (0.35–25 µm) of Some Anthropogenic and Natural Atmospheric Aerosol Constituents

    Edward CloutisORCID, Matthew Cuddy, Cameron HunterORCID, Daniel ApplinORCID, Paul MannORCID, Stanley MertzmanORCID
    30-79

    Article ID: 116418    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.12807
    1759  (Abstract) 360  (Download)

    Abstract: Atmospheric aerosols can have wide-ranging effects on the Earth’s atmosphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere. To help improve our understanding of these effects, we have conducted spectral reflectance and transmission properties of a suite of anthropogenic and natural aerosols across a wide wavelength range (0.35–25 microns). Our sample suite included rock and mineral dusts, sulfates and nitrates, ocean water precipitates, and a variety of... More

  • Article

    Projected Changes in the Characteristics of Dry and Wet Episodes over Côte d’Ivoire

    Stella TodzoORCID, Élisée Yapo AkobéORCID, Adama DiawaraORCID, Ibrahima DibaORCID, Assi Louis Martial YapoORCID, Thierry C. Fotso-NguemoORCID, Benjamin KouassiORCID, Fidèle YorobaORCID, Arona DiedhiouORCID
    80-94

    Article ID: 116571    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.12989
    492  (Abstract) 261  (Download)

    Abstract: This study analyses the persistence and frequency of multi-day dry and wet rainfall episodes over Côte d’Ivoire, which are quantified using CPC observations (1979–2022) and a 14-member Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)-Africa ensemble under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. Rather than focusing solely on total rainfall, we quantify rainfall by duration and frequency of dry spells and wet episodes to capture duration-driven drought... More

  • Article

    Atmospheric Non-Methane Hydrocarbons over Indian Region: From Initial Measurements to Latest Results

    Soniya YadavORCID, Chinmay MallikORCID
    95-127

    Article ID: 116320    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.12677
    620  (Abstract) 297  (Download)

    Abstract: Increased non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) emissions brought on by urbanisation, industrialisation, and a warming planet have significantly modulated regional atmospheric photochemistry, ground-level ozone formation, oxidant levels, and secondary organic aerosol production. India, being a country with fast-paced changes with excessive and variable emissions like in the Indo-Gangetic Plains, a comprehensive understanding of the temporal and... More

  • Article

    Convergence at the Horizon towards Predictive Resilience in a Non-Stationary World

    Qiang ZhangORCID
    128-131

    Article ID: 116688    DOI:https://doi.org/10.30564/jasr.v9i1.13122
    371  (Abstract) 202  (Download)

    Abstract: Climate change and technological advancement are driving a paradigm shift in the atmospheric and hydrometeorological sciences. This transformation is reflected in the complex interactions between ocean and atmospheric dynamics, the role of climate phenomena such as El Niño and La Niña, and the consequent effects on global water resources. This editorial argues that the critical task for the coming decade is to advance from hazard-focused... More